?Jung “JyJ” Young Jae topped Group E in Round of 24 with two wins against Choi “sSak” Ho Seon and Park “soma” Sang Hyun, which is quite impressive. But he is still priced as a +150 underdog against Jo “hero” Il Jang for this fixture.

The offered StarCraft odds would make sense if this were a best-of-three (Bo3) match, but it’s a Bo1, which makes backing the favourite far less appealing. What’s more, hero is 0-2 across his last two outings against Jo “Sharp” Ki Seok and Doh “Best” Jae Wook and holds a 50% win rate against Terran (6-6).

In contrast, JyJ is 15-11 against Zergs (57.69% win rate) and has lost only two games across his last nine. The latest betting odds are entirely wrong as there is no reason to have JyJ priced at much higher than even money. At this price, JyJ is a no-brainer pick.

Lee “Jaedong” Jae Dong and Kim “Soulkey” Min Chul last clashed just three weeks ago, in Group F of ASL Season 13 Round of 24, when Jaedong won 1-0. It marked their first meeting since 2019 and Jaedong’s fourth head-to-head victory (4-4) against his compatriot.

Since Jaedong already defeated Soulkey not too long ago, it makes sense for the esports bookies to expect him to do it again on Tuesday. But his performance on the day wasn’t good enough to justify Jaedong being priced at -166.67. At that figure, Jaedong’s implied probability of winning is 62.5%, which is about 10% too high.

One Bo1 victory doesn’t mean much, and it doesn’t prove that Jaedong is better than Soulkey. The betting odds should be much closer to even money, so we have to side with Soulkey.

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