?MAD Lions are stronger than SAW Youngsters, but that does not explain the latest CS:GO betting odds. At +1013, the esports bookmakers suggest that SAW.Y’s implied chance of winning is only 9%, which is way too low at this level of play.

Even though SAW.Y haven’t achieved much during the group stage, they played surprisingly well against VELOX on Tuesday, winning 16-10 on Ancient and 16-9 on Inferno. Meanwhile, MAD Lions emerged as the clear best team in Group A, beating x6tence (16-7) and GTZ Bulls (16-6), but we wouldn’t say either of those two teams are much stronger than SAW Youngsters.

SAW Youngsters’ chances of winning this bout are slim; however, with the round line set at 7.5 maps, it’s tough to not bet on them. It might be a 2-0, but the Portuguese squad should collect at least nine rounds.

?OFFSET topped Group B with a perfect 2-0 record, beating VELOX (16-10) and SAW Youngsters (16-7); meanwhile, eXploit Esports secured a ticket for the playoffs on Monday, with a 2-1 reverse sweep of GTZ Bulls. Even though eXploit lost a map against GTZ Bulls (15-19 on Inferno), they did not disappoint on Ancient (16-9) and Vertigo (16-4).

OFFSET Esports enter this bout as -227.27 favourites, largely thanks to their impressive run through the group stage. However, they’re still 3-4 down in the head-to-head and needed overtime (22-19) to beat eXploit in their last meeting in July.

What’s more, eXploit have since signed former OFFSET player Paulo “pr” Silva, who has been a standout player for the team, averaging a 1.37 rating since joining the team and is fresh off a 1.44 against GTZ Bulls. At +162, eXploit Esports are an excellent bet.

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?SAW Youngsters have played well in their FiReLEAGUE 2021: Iberia opener, winning against RVNS Esports (16-10). But, unfortunately, the young Portuguese squad couldn’t deliver in the second match against OFFSET Esports on Wednesday and lost 7-16 on Inferno.??Their next opponents, VELOX, lost their opening match against OFFSET (10-16 on Inferno) on Monday. They bounced back with a commanding 2-0 sweep of RVNS two days later, with 16-13 on Ancient and 16-8 on Overpass.

Even though the teams have produced very similar performances, SAW.Y enter this match as the favourites, which doesn’t seem accurate. They might have achieved more over the year, but we are concerned with the form of Paulo “reibi” Lima, Rafael “rafaxF” Faria, and Jose “Linko” Duro, who are averaging 0.65, 0.91. and 0.99 ratings at this tournament.

SAW Youngsters’ average player performance rating at the FiReLEAGUE is 1.028, while the VELOX players average 1.12. Although the ratings don’t tell the whole story, it’s enough for us to take VELOX at the offered CS:GO betting odds.

?GTZ Bulls Esports are expected to win on Tuesday, which makes sense, considering they already won this bout last Monday, with 16-10 on Inferno. While eXploit Esports had their moments on the day, they were outclassed by the international roster, who locked in a 10-5 lead on T-Side, needing only 11 more rounds (6-5) to seal the deal.

GTZ Bulls have since played one game against MAD Lions and lost 6-16, meanwhile eXploit have played four games and won all but one. That includes a 2-0 sweep of x6tence, 16-11 against ORO Gaming Group, a closely-fought 19-17 victory against For The Win Esports, and a 15-19 loss against Native 2 Empire.

Even though the Bulls won last time out, the game could have easily ended differently had it not been played on Inferno. This time out, the game will be best-of-three (Bo3), meaning eXploit will have a chance to pick their own map. We still expect GTZ Bulls to win, but it won’t be a clean sweep.

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